Hanson vs Zito in Atlanta.
The San Francisco Giants are in the middle of a very tough series as they are still in Atlanta taking on the Braves. Game time tonight is 7:35pm ET and the pitching match-up features Hanson for Atlanta vs. Zito for the Giants.
bet365 have the best price on San Francisco at +140 (7/5) while Ladbrokes have the Braves at -150 (2/3).
San Francisco have dropped a couple games in a row now including a tight 3-2 loss to Atlanta on Thursday. The Braves's trademark this season is how well they play at home as they have improved their overall record to 37-14 at the expense of the Giants most recently.
'cisco's good enough on the road with their 29-27 record and they hold the Wild Card in part because they are able to win road games but Atlanta are just too tough of a team to bet against on their home diamond with any expectation of consistently turning a profit.
Both starting pitchers are fine but neither is really a dead-cold game changer at this point and the best way to look at this game is just in terms of Atlanta's .725 home winning percentage vs. their odds of -150. A winning percentage of .725 would actually justify a responsible pick at odds as short as -263 so there is implied value at -150.
San Francisco, as a possible playoff bound team, are a better than average club and that should be accounted for but Atlanta are still good to go at anything better than -200 and you have that with Ladbrokes.
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