Juan Martin Del Potro is expected to play.
Roger Federer, the five time champion at the US Open, is currently the second favorite to win this year. However, the betting market for the 2010 US Open may be undergoing major revisions soon as USOPEN.org have reported that Juan Martin Del Potro "is expected to return to Grand Slam competition" at Flushing Meadows in August/September.
That announcement has lead to some betting lines re-opening on the Argentinian, a player who had been sidelined for most of the year with the exception of the 2010 Australian Open. The expectation of Del Potro to play has lead to some adjustments in betting odds and here are the updated prices:
1. Rafael Nadal +275 (11/4) bet365
2. Roger Federer +300 (3/1) Boylesports
3. Andy Murray +505 (about 5/1) Bwin
4. Novak Djokovic +1600 (16/1) SportingBet
5. Robin Soderling +1600 (16/1) SportingBet
6. Andy Roddick +2000 (20/1) SportingBet
7. Tomas Berdych +2000 (20/1) SportingBet
8. Juan Martin Del Potro (25/1) SportingBet
Many sportsbooks are not offering a betting line on Del Potro at this point and perhaps it is jumping the gun to state that he will be in the field this year - just because he's "expected" to return does not make it a 100% thing. However if you were planing on backing Djokovic, Soderling, Roddick, or Berdych then SportingBet is the site to register with as their inclusion of Del Potro in the field has lead to a lengthening of the odds on each of those players.
Djokovic at +1600 is a really good price on the world number 2 as most sites have him at half those odds. Soderling's price is not bad but it is not as valuable as Djokovic's while both Roddick and Berdych should be considered overrated at the odds provided.
Nadal's odds have generally been shortening as he was priced at +300 earlier this week and now the best odds for him are +275 (bet365). Those odds do have some value still but if they keep shortening they will be tougher and tougher to tip as worthy.
Roger Federer is the player most overrated in the above 8 favorites as 3 to 1 is way too short on him. In order to feel confident in a bet on the Swiss Maestro for a Slam at this point you would probably want about +1200 (12/1) and that's not going to become available although Fed may drift out to +600 or so if (when?) he loses in Toronto and Cincinnati.
Del Potro, of course, is cloudy as he is coming back from injury. If he was 100% he would be so incredibly valuable at +2500 (25/1) but what his form will be like at the US Open is very unclear. bet365 have him priced at +1400 while BetFred have him way too short at +600. All things considered +2500 has to be considered valuable but only for a small bet.
Recommendations: if you take Nadal then do not bet him at odds any shorter than +275 while sprinkling Del Potro and Djokovic with SportingBet.
Register with SportingBet to bet on the 2010 US Open - MAXIMUMBONUS is your promo code for a free bet that can be used on the men's finals.