Nadal is the outright favorite or co-favorite in all Grand Slam futures market.
Rafael Nadal looks as though he will be lodged at the top of the ATP tour for quite some time as he is the current holder of both the French Open title and the Wimbledon title. Nadal is favored to repeat as French Open and Wimbledon champion next season although it is fair to say that a lot could happen between now and then.
Here are Nadal's odds to win outright for the next 4 Grand Slams starting wih the 2010 US Open:
2010 US Open: +300 (3/1) Boylesports
2011 Australian Open: +250 (5/2) Boylesports
2011 French Open: -225 (4/9) bet365
2011 Wimbledon: +200 (2/1) SkyBet
As is usually the case with favorites you are either dealing with very minimal value or you are working with odds that have to be considered too short to bet. Roger Federer is a co-favorite for the US Open and the Aussie and if he continues to falter then his price should drift, which may lead to Nadal's odds shortening.
However none of the prices above are likely to shorten until at least the late rounds of August's Canadian Open in Toronto and that means there is no rush to back Nadal at this point.
Nadal is an injury prone player so the events that are far off in the future are risky plays.
Nadal backers that want to secure the world number 1 at a price that is at least somewhat decent should be taking him to win the US Open now but a comparable price will probably be available for most of the next few weeks.
If Nadal is on-form in Toronto and goes deep into the draw then once he makes the semis that would be your cue to back him for Flushing Meadows before his price shortens.
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