Ascot Champion Stakes tips for Saturday, October 15th (16:10 BST)

Ascot (credit: Erik Hartberg)

Crunchsports.com's tips for Saturday's Champion Stakes at Ascot (4.10) courtesy of BettingPro.com tipster Ross Aylward...

So You Think is as short as 15/8 for Saturday's Champion Stakes at Ascot, but he can be opposed only a fortnight after finishing fourth in the Arc.

Aidan O'Brien's runner ran as well as could be expected from a poor draw in Paris and is now back over his preferred trip of 1m2f, over which he posted hugely impressive victories over last year's Derby winner Workforce in the Coral-Eclipse Stakes in the summer and last year's Oaks winner Snow Fairy in the Irish Champion Stakes last time out.

However, the Champion Stakes at Newmarket always used to be a graveyard for horses coming on from Longchamp and there's no reason to believe Ascot will be any different. O'Brien has made a reference to So You Think's iron constitution and he was having his fourth race in a month when third in last year's Melbourne Cup, but I still have my doubts and, given the quality of opposition he faces here, I'm inclined to take him on at around the 2/1 mark.

Nathaniel is next best in the betting and there's no doubting he loves Ascot, as his successes in the King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot and in the King George & Queen Elizabeth Stakes proves. Both those wins came over 1m4f, though, and connections were even considering running him in the St Leger (1m6f) at one stage, so there has to be a doubt about his effectiveness over this shorter trip, although his trainer John Gosden doesn't think it will be a problem and is more concerned over the draw: "I think it will be critical where you are drawn - if you are on the outside you will be severely compromised. It could get messy going into Swinley Bottom and it won't be smooth for the jockeys."

He wouldn't have been too pleased to see Nathaniel drawn out wide in 10 then and I will be surprised if he becomes the first King George winner to follow up in this race since Brigadier Gerard in 1972.

Having backed Henry Cecil to be the season's top trainer, I'd love to see one of his two runners win - he might need a 1-2 here, even if Frankel and Vita Nova both win earlier on the card. In Twice Over and Midday (7/1 and 8/1 respectively), he has the horses to go to war with, but I'm not convinced Twice Over will be so effective away from his beloved Newmarket, where he has won the last two renewals of this race (beaten all four times he's raced here), and Midday, as brilliant as she is, is always opposable against the colts. Furthermore, both are older than ideal with three and four-year-olds accounting for 36 of the last 40 winners.

The more I look at this race, the more I fancy an upset and the three-year-old CASAMENTO could out-run his current odds of 33/1. Last year's Racing Post Trophy winner has taken a while to come to hand this season (well beaten in the 2000 Guineas and French Derby), but ran much better when landing a Longchamp Group 3 last time and will be fresher than most, having raced only once since June. This is his toughest assignment to date but he's a proven Group 1 performer, unlike his better-fancied stablemate Dubai Prince, and there are no concerns over the likely fast ground. The booking of Richard Hughes also takes the eye and he should be able to stay handy from stall six.

Of the rest, Green Destiny could also go well at a price (20/1 currently) as he is improving at a rate of knots and may not have finished yet, although his trainer is hoping for rain as he doesn't want it too quick. The Arc third Snow Fairy, an 8/1 shot, is opposed for the same reason as So You Think and the French-trained Cirrus Des Aigles looks a bigger threat at the same price. The French have a decent record in this race, last winning it with Pride in 2006, and this ultra consistent sort could easily make the frame.



All Horse Racing News

Recent Horse Racing Articles

  • Cheltenham International - Live Stream and Tips for Cheltenham on Saturday, December 13th 2014

    Seven races take place at Cheltenham this afternoon on International Hurdle day....

  • Can Gentildonna make it a third Japan Cup win in a row?

    Trainer Sei Ishizaka is confident Ryan Moore will be able to ride Gentildonna to a third successive Japan Cup crown on Sunday....

  • Best three bets for Newcastle and Newbury on Satuday, November 29th 2014

     tipster Steve Bowers picks out his best three bets of the day from Newcastle and Newbury for ......

  • Hennessy Gold Cup tips - why 7/1 Smad Place can win at Newbury

    The Hennessy Gold Cup takes place this afternoon at Newbury, and tipster Nick Wilby previews the race for ......

  • Cheltenham Festival - The worst rides in Cheltenham history

    The Cheltenham Festival is the epitome of jump racing and brings together the best human and equine talent in the sport and pits the best of the best against each other. However, as is the same at all levels of sport, occasionally someone drops a clanger!  Top tipster Nick Wilby has taken a&nb...

  • Top 10 horses to follow for the 2014/15 National Hunt season from Ruby Walsh

    Ruby Walsh has picked out ten horses to follow ahead of the 2014/15 National Hunt season....

  • Harp Star favourite to land Japan Cup 2014

    Alkaased was the last foreign raider to win the Japan Cup nine years ago and Harp Star is being backed to claim another home victory in Tokyo this Sunday as the build-up to the country's most prestigious race continues....

  • Racing tips for Sunday, November 23rd at Navan

    tips for Sunday's racing at Navan courtesy of top tipster Gerard O'Donovan......

  • Racing tips - Top 3 tips on Betfair Chase day at Haydock

    There's top racing from Ascot and Haydock this afternoon, and top tipster Nick Wilby gives  his top three bets......

More Stories

Recent Articles

  • The Apprentice 2014 Sunday Finals Odds - Mark favourite to beat Bianca in final showdown

    The bookmakers have made Mark Wright the 1/3 favourite to win The Apprentice 2014 after reaching the final two, where he will face Bianca Miller in a battle for Lord Sugar's £250,00 investment. ...

  • El Shaarawy to Liverpool? Schneiderlin to Arsenal? Elia to Southampton? Sunday's transfer round-up

    Sunday's round up of the top transfer stories from the past 24 hours......

  • Stoke City vs. Chelsea FC Premier League kick-off time

    Stoke vs. Chelsea takes place in the Premier League on Monday night....

  • NBA commissioner Adam Silver dismisses tanking claims

    NBA commissioner Adam Silver is not convinced that certain teams are deliberately losing their games to get a high pick in future drafts....

  • Yaya Sanogo set for Arsenal exit

    Arsenal striker Yaya Sanogo is likely to leave the club during the January transfer window, initially on loan, in a bid to secure regular first team football....

  • Michael Carrick made new Man Utd vice-captain

    Louis van Gaal has made Michael Carrick his new vice-captain at Manchester United....

  • Daniel Ricciardo looking forward to being Red Bull's leading driver in 2015

    Daniel Ricciardo is excited by the prospect of being Red Bull's leading driver in 2015....

  • Rafael Nadal declares himself fit for the Australian Open

    Rafael Nadal has declared himself fit for the 2015 Australian Open....

  • Arsene Wenger: Arsenal do not fear Liverpool attack this season

    Arsene Wenger does not fear a repeat of last season when his Arsenal side take on Liverpool at Anfield this afternoon....

More Stories

Tags

Ascot

Latest News



Share this with your friends

To:
From:
Your comments:

Ascot Champion Stakes tips for Saturday, October 15th (16:10 BST)

Crunchsports.com's tips for Saturday's Champion Stakes at Ascot (4.10) courtesy of BettingPro.com tipster Ross Aylward...

Read more »

Log In or Sign up

Facebook User?

You can use your facebook account to sign up with Live streaming sport.

Connect with facebook
Remember me.
Did you forget your password?