Rafael Nadal is 3 to 1 to win the 2010 US Open and that makes him 3 to 1 to complete his career Slam this year.
Rafael Nadal is the top ranked player in the world and it is fair to say that he’s expected to remain there for quite some time. Buoyed by 2 Grand Slam titles and multiple Masters titles, at present Nadal is the co-favorite for the US Open and the 2011 Australian Open while he is the outright favorite for Wimbledon 2011 and the 2011 French Open.
Here are Nadal’s odds to win outright for the next 4 Grand Slams starting with the 2010 US Open:
2010 US Open: +300 (3/1) Boylesports 2011 Australian Open: +250 (5/2) Boylesports 2011 French Open: -225 (4/9) bet365 2011 Wimbledon: +200 (2/1) SkyBet
As is usually the case with favorites you are either dealing with very minimal value or you are working with odds that have to be considered too short to bet. Roger Federer is a co-favorite for the US Open and the Aussie and if he continues to falter then his price should drift, which may lead to Nadal’s odds shortening. The interdependency between Nadal’s odds and Federer’s should not be ignored by Nadal backers. If you see Federer losing a match to someone like Ernests Gulbis or Albert Montanes in the US Open lead-up then that could very easily mean that Nadal’s odds should be shortening and it would be your cue to act.
However none of the prices above are likely to shorten until at least the late rounds of August’s Canadian Open in Toronto and that means there is no rush to back Nadal at this point. He is an injury prone player so the events that are far off in the future are risky plays. The best angle on Nadal right now is to take him to win the US Open to guarantee that you get at least reasonable odds on him for that Slam.
Last year Nadal made the semifinals at Flushing Meadows and it was Juan Martin Del Potro that knocked him out – a player who will not be in the field this year.
Register with Boylesports to bet on Grand Slam futures – MAXIMUMBONUS is your promo code for a free bet that can be used on the 2010 US Open.
Ian Horne
Ian goes back to the very early days of CrunchSports, having been tirelessly covering soccer for us for over 10 years.
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